Ask Haviv Anything
Haviv Rettig Gur
129: Iran is closer to freedom than you think, with Armin Navabi
In this episode of Ask Haviv Anything, host Haviv Rettig Gur welcomes Iranian-born political analyst and activist Armin Navabi to discuss the current state of Iran, the resilience of its people, and the prospects for ending the rule of the Islamic Republic. Navabi provides a firsthand perspective on how Iranians are bypassing internet censorship through VPNs to stay connected and coordinate resistance efforts. A central theme of the discussion is the role of Reza Pahlavi, whom Navabi describes as the primary figurehead for a unified, secular, and democratic opposition. Navabi emphasizes that the movement for change is fundamentally bottom-up, driven by the Iranian people’s desire for sovereignty and individual rights. He critiques the Western analytical community’s skepticism toward the opposition, arguing that policy should prioritize the expressed will of the Iranian citizenry rather than external geopolitical theories. The conversation also touches on historical context, including the 1953 transition involving Mohammad Mosaddegh, and explores the internal fractures within the regime, which Navabi characterizes as a non-monolithic entity struggling with its own internal power dynamics and the loss of its traditional support base.
Updated Jul 8, 2026
About This Episode
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Is the Iranian regime finally on the path toward collapse? In this episode, Iran-born political analyst Armin Navabi (from the YouTube channel Liberty Politics) takes us inside the mind of the Iranian people and the fractured Islamic Republic. We break down the four warring factions within the regime, the controversial strategy behind the Trump MOU (and why it might be doing more harm to the regime than the war itself), and why the Iranian resistance rallied behind Reza Pahlavi. Plus, why arming the Iranian people might achieve what air strikes could not.
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This episode is sponsored by Torie Sepah and Ron Shatzmiller, husband and wife physicians, who run the Pasadena Neuropsychiatry Center in California. They are proud to be one of the few elite providers of Brainsway Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation, an Israeli technology used for treatment-resistant depression. Ron was born in Israel and Torie was born in Iran. They would like to dedicate this episode to the memory of the 40,000 peaceful protesters murdered by the Iranian regime.
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If you like what we do here, please consider joining our Patreon community at https://www.patreon.com/c/AskHavivAnything or our Substack at https://havivgur.substack.com/. You can also Buy Me a Coffee at https://buymeacoffee.com/havivrettiggur. It helps us keep the lights on. Patreon and Substack are also the platforms where you can ask the questions that guide the topics we cover on the podcast, join our great discussions where listeners share news and valuable resources, and take part in our monthly livestreams where Haviv answers your questions live.
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Musical intro by Adam Ben Amitai.
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