Midterm Election Outlook and Trends

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Now let's get to the show. He's here . He's here . Now broadcasting them from the underground command puzzle deep in the fou sels of a hidden bunker somewhere under the brick and steel of a nondescript building, we've once again made contact with our leader at a park Love then Oh, it's been a great freaking week. Not a decent week, not a good week. It's been a great freaking week . I know he is not here and he's not , you know, under the bunker and everything else . Once again, it is Brian Mud here with you. Honored as always to be here with you, broadcasting from my studio. That is anything but that kind of fortress sitting in the studio that literally as we were once broadcasting hurricane coverage had the roof ripped off . So that's the kind of digs I got going here . Love the opportunities to be with you. You may connect with me socially at Brian Mud Radio. Check out the Brian Mud Show podcast wherever you get your podcast. It's been a great freaking week . So what are the occupational hazards at this point on a Friday , happy Friday, by the way, with this great freaking week . One of the occupational hazards is the extent to which one's intelligence has been insulted . You're familiar with the expression about teachers. Those who can't do teach . And by the way, I may not be the ubiquitous insult there . I am grateful for every constitutionalist that's a teacher that takes one for the team . They're actually capable, decent, honorable people. They're in the teaching profession. I'm not trying to impugn everyone ubiquitously . But I put a lot of teachers in the same camp that I also put attorneys in. We need great attorneys, right? But like if you ever come across an attorney and they're like all of their favorite people are other attorneys, run the other way . If you ever come across a like a public school teacher and every person they want to be around or just a ton of public school teachers, just playing the numbers game. It's probably not one of the standouts in the profess ion just saying . But again, for the great teachers, I appreciate you. Anyway, where I'm going with that particular analogy is it also applies to news reporting because those who don't know report on stuff . You would think that if you're reporting on stuff, you would know stuff, but they actually don't . They don't know stuff. This has been a great freaking week and all you get what your impression of the news . What has your impression of the news been this week? Even right now , I mean, take a look at the headlines right now. Oh my gosh . U. S. retaliates Iran because of that Singapore's ship that was nailed by the drone in the Strait of Hormuz yesterday. Oh my gosh . We're retaliating. That's bad. Great , freaking week . Incredible news week. Unbelievable deal coming together on the deal, the MOU, unbelievable deal , trilateral deal , pulled together today with Lebanon, with Israel and us in the middle . Secretary of State Mark Rubio just knocking it out of the park again. In fact, Rubio said something that just totally crystallizes both my mood and cut the BS out of it . The Iranian system is going to continue to produce all sorts of maximalist rhetoric. They're going to have people going on their TV, on their official media and making all kinds of pronouncements. And what we're interested in is not their press conferences. What we're interested in is whether or not ships are moving. If ships are moving as they should be moving, then that's what we're going to judge and that's what we're going to react to. Ding, freaking ding . The only thing that matters are the freaking ships getting through the straight up hormuz. Well no , because the Singapore ship That by the way is a biological mail news reporter that is still trying to figure out what letter he is on the homosexual alphabet , just you know trying to channel one of the GSS newsers out there . The only thing that matters or if ships are going through the strait . You know how you can actually, if you're wondering how things are going with Iran, how things are going in the Middle East day to day anymore? I've been telling all my listeners to do , just look at the price of oil . Don't pay attention to anything in the news. Do not because they don't know things and they report stuff . And what's worse is most of your GSS news , your godless solace and sleners news out there , most of these people literally will put the IRGC on an even plan e with the Trump administration. Well, the Trump administration said this , but Iran is saying this, which by the way is a whole other thing, because poofer brains that report on things , they don't know things , don't even realize that you have multiple different state media outlets in Iran. They can't even get that part right. You have the IRGC that has their own state media apparatus and they have the president of Iran that has his. And those two are not on the same page a lot of the time . So even when you hear Iran saying this, no , most of the time it's not because they're reporting on crap from the IRGC from the military. It's not speaking for Iran . Again , at this point on a Friday with a week where it's actually been great and all you hear is that it's crap around the world . The new cycle has been terrible . Intelligence has been insulted, so I'm just getting the lid out a little bit. Believe it or not, because it's been a great week. I'm actually in a pretty good place . Just getting back Getting back to getting back to a place where we talk about there being two sides of stories and one set of facts . And as I'm inclined to do, I will provide information to you that is helpful, useful, and repeatable . So here's the first thing to know . Do you know what the price of oil was earlier today ? About sixty nine, we got down to almost sixty eight. It was barely sixty nine at about the point where we had retaliations sixty sixty nine, fifty eight . And do you know where we are most recently after the retaliatory strikes , we are at seventy dollars twenty four cents . Now I'm going to get into this in just a moment. Hang on to that number because I'm going to break down some of the econom ic realities and other things . That is an unbelievably great price for a barrel of oil for this time of year . Like you know, we're wrapping up the Amazon Prime Day stuff right now , which by the way , did Amazon Prime Day start out like literally as a day and now it's a whole week or something. But anyway , I did think my wife picked up some more great wine glasses today off of that. So there's something . Looking forward to that glass of wine, by the way . So oil at seventy dollars a barrel . You don't have for this time of year , a deal on Amazon. There's nothing on Prime Day or Prime Week that's as good as the deal. Buying a barrel of oil at seventy bucks . That's one . Now , remember Rubio's comment, the only thing that matters is what's going through the Strait of Hormuz. Tell me if you have heard this reported anywhere unless you have heard it from me. If you have been getting extra credit and listening to my podcast or my morning show locally throughout South Florida . Do you know how many ships have been getting through the Strait of Hormuse . Since that MOU was signed last week , we have gotten seventy three percent of pre Iran war shipping traffic through the Straits of Hormuz . We're almost a week and a half into this thing . We during this period have gone seventy three percent through . Do you know what we have gotten through over the prior two days through the Strait of Hormuz? Including yesterday where you had the ship that was struck , the Singapore ship that was struck by the Iranian . You know how much we've gone through the past couple of days ? Over one hundred percent of the product through the Strait of Hormuz for a normal Wednesday and normal Thursday . Even with some of the ship totals, like you go back to Wednesday seven sixty two ships. And you've been conditioned by your news video that oh, we usually get one hundred through. Y,es sometimes and a lot of times it's less than that. But regardless, the ones that are getting through been a lot of the big bulkers. We're making sure the biggest ships with as much oil as possible and everything else, there's dry bulk going through too. That stuff's getting through . And so there is actually more product that is that has crossed through this straight of horn moose the last two days than ordinarily would on insert year here on a Wednesday and Thursday in June You don't hear it anywhere . And I'm pretty sure these people don't know things , the people are supposed to report in these things . How do you think it is that oil is where it is? Are you still driving the same as you were? The people you know ? We haven't suddenly seen the economy just go to crap from this time two weeks ago . So what happened ? There's a heck of a lot more oil that's getting through. And by the way, the MOU is all part of bringing that online. So price is truth The saying in the financial markets, price is truth. Here's the next thing to know . The example I'll use is a real estate transaction . People who are noobs to real estate will get a property under contract and be like, Whew , wow, we got there . People who are experienced with real estate know that the moment you put something under contract, the real negotiation has just begun. And the negotiation is not finished until there are two signatures on either side and those documents are closed and recorded . That's when a deal is done. We have a sixty day high stakes negotiation. Everything is being negotiated out there in the news media. O bothn sides , Trump's playing the public negotiation game, same as Iran's playing the public negotiation game Most of it means little , but it all gets reported as though it's meaningful. What's meaningful was that trilateral deal that got signed today between Lebanon and Israel . The deal where Israel is actually going to peel back out of a couple regions in southern Lebanon, and the Lebanese military is going to take over that territory and they're going to work to push Hezbollah out of the territory . That's massive . That's massive. That's historically massive. On top of all the other big things that have been going on here . All right , so So trivia time because I was talking about and by the way, if you're listening to the show last night , you might know the answer to this because I actually for a fleeting moment gave it to you . But trivia time, in flation adjusted dollars , what has the average price for WTI crude ? No, Texas T verly Hill Bill,y st Style, theuff that you and I use , what is the inflation adjusted price on this date over the past fifteen years You got it? One number comes about. What is the average price for a barrel of oil on this date ? june twenty sixth . You know what the answer is ninety, ninety dollars a barrel . Remember, I said it's seventy and anything on Amazon Prime this week that's better to get than that buy up your seventy dollars barrels of oil. twenty bucks off, normal rate , heck, yeah . Our wine glasses didn't even come with that big of a discount today . So we spent most of the day with a barrel of oil , at a twenty one dollar discount to just your average june twenty sixth price, and we're at twenty dollars of a discount With everything that's happened in Iran , with the Singapore ship that was struck yesterday, with our retaliation just a bit ago , how does that happen If you pay attention to the news media, oh my gosh , look at a price of oil , learn how that stuff works , price is truth. Now, next question , of the past fifteen years, how many have featured the price of oil at an inflation adjusted price that's been lower than where it is today? It's my teas for you. Come up with an answer. Past fifteen years, how many has the price of oil been less than it is right now today? Be right back with that. Bryan Mud in for the great one. Mud in If you missed out on gold in twenty twenty, if you missed the rally in twenty twenty five, it's not too late right now gold is sitting about twenty percent off its all time high earlier this year so you could buy it at a discount. The fundamentals that drove gold over five thousand dollars an ounce, they're still strong. It's a limited commodity. You can't just print more of it. Gold often remains your hedge in times of inflation war and political uncertainty. So get diversified and add gold with monetary gold. For twenty six years, monetary gold has helped Americans own gold and silver in a tax sheltered retirement account like an IRA or a four hundred one K. Five stars on the Better Business Bureau and Consumer Affairs. Visit mark lovesgold. com or call eight seven seven now gold for a one on one consultation 's. eight That seven seven six six nine six five three plus get a free guide to owning gold at mark sgold dot com or call eight seven seven now gold. Performance may very consult your tax and financial professional . All right, hey there, so I gave you a question to ponder during the break . The question was of the past fifteen years how have featured the price of oil at an inflation adjusted price that is lower than where it is right now today . And the answer is only five times . Only thirty three percent of the time . Okay, you got that. So independent of the Iranian war , the MOU , a Singapore ship struck in the strike of Hormuz, all these things . Two thirds of the time a barrel of oil is more expensive on june twenty sixth than right now . It's been a great freaking week if I didn't impart that correctly originally . Here's the next question. It's the final one for the moment . The inflation rate over the past fifteen years has been forty nine percent, okay ? It's kind of depressing to think about, right? Thank you, Biden inflation . So basically the buck in your pocket right now is only worth half of what it was fifteen years ago on an absolute basis, meaning noninflation adjusted just straight dollars to dollars despite the fact that a dollar is worth half now of what it was then . How much was a barrel of oil fifteen years ago today ? How much? Come on . It was ninety one dollars . It was ninety one dollars . If you do adjust for inflation, that'd be one hundred and twenty nine bucks a barrel . We're at seventy. You know who was a president fifteen years ago? Remember Bar Hbusarsein Obam a ? How many conversations do you recall there being about the oil crisis? Can you imagine if oil is at one hundred and twenty nine right now? You know, the absolute peak during the war was one hundred fifteen But you're like, well, that was just one year. No, what was it fourteen years ago? You know what the price of a barrel of oil was an absolute dollar? Absolute. fourteen years ago, it was seventy nine dollars or one hundred and nine bucks in today's money. Well, that was fourteen. thirteen years ago , it was one hundred and twenty eight dollars . twelve years ago, it was one hundred and forty one flipping dollars . Double , double . It's been a great freaking week. Bryan Mud, will be right back If you missed out on gold in twenty twenty, if you missed the rally in twenty twenty five, it's not too late. Right now gold is sitting about twenty percent off its all time high earlier this year, so you could buy it at a discount. The fundamentals that drove gold over five thousand dollars an ounce, they're still strong. It's a limited commodity. You can't just print more of it. Gold often remains your hedge in times of inflation war and political uncertainty. So get diversified and add gold with monetary go ld. For twenty six years, monetary gold has helped Americans own gold and silver in a tax sheltered retirement account like an IRA or a four hundred and one K. Five stars on the Better Business Bureau and Consumer Affairs is.it V lovesgold. com or call eight seven seven now gold for a one on one consultation. That's eight seven seven six six nine four six five three plus get a free guide to owning gold at mark sgold. com or call eight seven seven now gold. Performance may very consult your tax and financial professional . The voice of sanity in an insane world The Microbin show Calling now at eight seven seven three eight one three eight one Happy Friday. It is great to be here with you getting the let out, having some fun and also informing you as to what really matters in this great freaking week that we have had. Even though the news would not have you think that it's been a great freaking week. Price is truth. You take a look at a barrel of o il at seventy bucks , as I have informed you. The normal price for this particular date is ninety , nine zero. Better than an Amazon prime deal again a barrel of oil at market right now. How about that the m?id Indle of everything that's going on. It is Brian Mudd with you and Mark, he's been in Israel and he's going to be locked and loaded next week. So stand by for news . Now let me take a look at the oil picture that I'm painting for you . I just kind of walked you through what it typically is on this date where we stand how over the past fifteen years , two thirds of the time on the state oil's been more expensive just because you know, it's june twenty sixth . And then you take a look at the years, the Obama years and inflation adjusted dollars on this date for four consecutive years . Your price for a barrel of oil one hundred twenty nine , one hundred and nine one hundred and twenty eight , and one hundred and forty one flipping dollars . Twelve years ago, the price of a barrel of oil on this date was more than twice what it cost right now . By the way, that four year window of Obama Included his reelection in twenty twelve. Do you remember anything at any point about oil even being an issue? About gas prices even being an issue ? Nobody said a thing What the heck ? So often we are conditioned , we are misled , we are misinformed , we are manipulated, not just by news media , but even the oil and gas companies. One of the things that Trump has been talking about this week and at varying points, but he said he did mention it earlier this week was that, hey, you know, the gas companies have been ripping you off . They've been ripping you off . You know, the way that the very first week of the Iran war everybody had pre war oil that they had purchased that had been refined into gas that had already been at their gas station, they suddenly just jacked up the price right away because you had all the the analysts who are more the only thing that might be worse than like just your news reporter out there trying to report on economic stuff are people that are media facing people that are supposed to be financial experts . If you have a box of rocks and you have a media facing person that is supposed to be some kind of an economic analyst, go with a box of rocks. The box of rocks can at least be used with as a paperweight or something constructive maybe. You're not getting anything constructed of the media facing person is talking economics . But they are also often dumb as a box of rocks . I'm just and I wish I'm trying to think of exceptions, but I really can't . Those are people who don't know things but say stuff . You know, reporters by and large are people who don't know things and report on stuff . The financial experts, the media facing people because they're all financial experts, but the people actually know stuff work for Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley. They make real money on Wall Street. They don't have things with like buddy in the name and go out there and talk to people in news media. They don't . Sorry . But the but yeah, those people so So here's the next thing . You're going yeah, but inflation and yeah but affordability and I know it sucks right I know that we got hammered under Biden so. And the reason why you're more sensitive to the price of gas, the reason why you'd been more sensitive to oil being higher because we still feel in the pain of Biden inflation and everything else that's happened. And then the Iran war, no doubt, added to inflation, right? So here's what we knew . The inflation rate for May was four point two percent. That's a lot higher than where we wanted . Not good . But as I pointed out in the show last night , here we have President Trump who has kneecapped the new Axis P owers kneecapped China's built in network that they had put together because China is not just China, China had become Russia , China had become Iran, China had become North Korea, within Iraq man, China had become Venezuela , China had become Cuba and Nicaragua too . That was the new Exus network . And so we took out Maduro that took away two percent of China's oil. We get that oil. We've doubled production . One and a half million barrels per day coming this way, courtesy of Chevron, that then the operator there that's ramping up production fast in Venezuela . We are about to take care of Cuba and whatever point we are wrapped up with Iran, you are going to have like our little military convoy out there that'll make a pit stop by Cuba and that'll happen fast. And then Iran. So Iran forty seven percent of China's oil supply taking out the nuclear threat , getting all the other Middle Eastern countries that have been aligned with China with us . And what did it cost us? You know, dealing with World War two, how many lives, how many years and everybody who wasn't over there was pitching in here at home turned our country, turned the world upside down, let alone all the personal sacrifice . And here we are the inflated the increased cost of inflation for three months due to the Iran war was one point two freaking percent, one point two percent. We paid one point two percent more for stuff because of Iran . And we get the benefit of avoiding a nuclear world war three. And we get the benefit of having kneecapped China's Axis network . I mean, it just and now you're about to see the price of gas come down over fifty cents per gallon over the next week and a half . And we have oil that's far cheaper than it usually is on this date. And so one of the other things I did because you're like affordability affordability and I get it. And if you are dealing with affordability challenges, that kind of stuff is real . So one of the things I worked on, I took seventy dollars per barrel and I ran economic projections for inflation for the rest of the year. Here we are about to wrap up the first half . So what do we get? All other things being equal. If we average se dovllarsenty a barrel where we are right now for the back six months of this year , your inflation rate will drop from four point two to two point three . Meaning that for the back half of the year , your money is going to go close to two percent farther than it's been going . In other words, you're going to have about a thousand dollars more buying power . The overall economy via GDP , it's going to grow one percent faster than it otherwise would. You're going to have at least four hundred fifty thousand more jobs are going to be added during the back six months of this year than otherwise would have been . And there are all kinds of other economic benefits too, but the point is , here we are. I don't know what your expectations were for the MOU not quite a week and a half into it . I will say that if I could have had seventy dollars a barrel oil today and you had offered that to me a week and a half ago, I would have said it's too good to be true . And that's where we sit today . So a week and a half into the MOU , this has gone so well , it's almost too good to be true . That's how good of a freaking week it has been if you take a look at these things . I can't tell you how many it's a fascinating thing too because for so long you would have like the anti Semitic theoretical right, the tuckers of the world out there that , you know, would come with the sharp knives for defending Israel and Trump's actions associated with Israel . And then that whole thing turned, and so over the past couple of weeks, because there had been the break and the public break at that with Trump and Netanyahu and with Israel going a little bit rogue and with Trump making a deal that involves Israel and the MOU that Israel did not agree to The sharp knives have come from some of the fiercest pro Israel people, like Cal Dare. The president's backstabbing and you're a traitor to and all these kinds of things . Uhhuh Then you take a look at what was signed today , with Israel , with Lebanon , with the United States, trilateral deal, history in the making. Don't be let around by your nose. Don't be let around by the news media. There are two sides to stories, there are one side of facts, price is truth. There's a lot of posturing out there. Here's the next thing to know . One of the big things that has been animated, it's not just that we have our midterm election cycle that is going on here that factors into the whole overall political calculus and also the way that things are reported . Did you know that Israel has elections too? And in fact, actually before hours, Israel's elections are in October . And so Netanyahu has a heart challenge from a general . And so he is playing the political game in his country publicly and rhetorically the same way that Trump is doing , and the same way that you have propaganda being spewed from Iran . What matters is what happens. Actions speak louder than words they always do . Over a week later , the MOU marked a turning point not just for the Strait of Hormuz , but for the overall economy , for affordability too . Now here's the next piece due to the investment boom from AI , we had already seen a much stronger economy with higher oil and gas prices than econom ists plan to see. Remember , we were getting these great jobs reports the past few months, double and they almost triple the jobs being added . And the reason was you have speaking of, you know, the economic people that don't know things but say stuff . So what where everybody miscalculated , yeah, you have some jobs that are being lost due to AI. Yeah, they're going to be a lot more jobs or lost due to AI . However , for every job that's being eliminated by AI , there are more than two there being created because what does it take to create all those chips? What does it take to build all these data centers? What does it take to put in all of that electrical into those facilities? What does it take to keep those places cool? By the way, most in demand job right now bigger shorts across this country, HVAC . Yeah, you got people that are just getting certified HVAC make ninety grand a year . Not bad for someone who's like, you know, twenty, twenty one years old, going to trade school, right? People hadn't accounted for that part of the real economy due to the AI boom . AI The AI boom will be like every other technological advance before it. Yes, the carriage and buggy drivers going away , but the automobile will create far more jobs in the long run . Yeah, a lot of jobs going to go away. AI will create a heck of a lot more in terms of employment going forward in ways that people had not begun to calculate until now . But here's the next piece of that. All that was being done with an average price for a barrel of oil. Take a look at May, for example. You know what oil was in May? It averaged one hundred and two dollars forty cents in the month of May . We are thirty two percent lower today . So we were blowing away jobs numbers. The economy was growing at a good clip . And energy was a heck of a lot more expensive . The rate of inflation in real time and going forward is going to come down by half . That money is going to be back in your pocket. What does that tell you? Man, does this set up extremely well for the US economy and for greater affordability for the back half of the year? Man, is that some good stuff Those are your economic realities . Let me get into some election integrity realities as well , and I'll hit that starting on the other side . This is Bry Mud, and for the great one. Mud in If you missed out on gold in twenty twenty , if you missed the rally in twenty twenty five, it's not too late. Right now gold is sitting about twenty percent off its all time high earlier this year so you could buy it at a discount . The fundamentals that drove gold over five thousand dollars an ounce, they're still strong. It's a limited commodity. You can't just print more of it. Gold often remains your hedge in times of inflation war and political uncertainty. So get diversified and add gold with monetary gold. For twenty six years, monetary gold has helped Americans own gold and silver in a tax sheltered retirement account like an IRA or a four hundred one K. Five stars on the Better Business Bureau and Consumer Affairs. Visit marklovesgold. com or call eight seven seven now gold for a one on one consultation. That's eight seven seven six six nine four six five three plus get a free guide to owning gold at mark sgold dot com or call eight seven seven now gold. Performance may very consult your tax and financial professional. We've got to show the American public we're going to fight like hell to secure our elections . And so that's what they want. So voter ID. Let's vote on it. And if it takes if it takes letting us have debate for, you know, a period of time , and then vote, let's do that. Yeah, so up to this point, I've talked about what a great freaking week it's been , despite the news coverage Well, when I say that, I'm mostly talking about how things are shaping up economically in this country . I am talking about how things are going better than I think any of us could have imagined when the MOU was signed . Not talking about the performance of the United States Senate that still couldn't get its act together and passed the SAVE Act and it's now in recess . I do think about Senator Rick Scott, who you just heard, I was from Mornings with Maria, Fox Business. I do think about Rick and how much better this country be if he or the Senate majority leader rather than John Thuon . But we are going to get into some of the election integrity stuff. And yeah, it's a little recounting of what went down as the communist takeover of the Democrat Party this week took another big step forward. But first go to Kathy who is in Memphis . And Kathy, welcome to the show. Thank you, sir. Appreciate it. Yeah, you bet. What's on your mind? Well when called, you were talking about different things that Barack Obama had done. And I remember when he was running for election the very first time while I was on the campaign trail, he was telling people that energy prices for U. S. citizens must necessarily rise Exactly because he felt like it was unfair that the United States citizens had better energy prices than anywhere else in the world , but we had an abundance of coal, we had an abundance of energy producing capability , but he wanted to shut that down. And he did because he penalized coal, a lot of coal mining shut down . I will remember I was watching that stock for a particular power company in California and they were the only ones that actually built power plants rather than just pushing power around and they were planning to build more power plants in California. Well, all that got shut down too . So while we while he gave money to Cylindra that turned out to be a scam and just ripped off taxpayers, Kathy Goldstar call , you're exactly right. Now I gave the inflation adjusted price of oil under Obama. If you were to take a look at what the price of gas was for a three year stretch , the average price for a gallon of gas regular unleeded was over five dollars per gallon in today's dollars . You are exactly right. It was all part of Obama's plan . And part of it is how we're conditioned because it's remarkable that people can be conditioned in such a way okay, well he says we need higher energy prices. And so it wasn't even an issue . But how much of that really just came down to the news coverage? You imagine if gasolay for five bucks . Be right back . This segment of the podcast is exclusively sponsored by PureTalk. PureTalk offers great coverage and can save your family money on your wireless bill every single month. Go to pureTalk dot com to find the plan that's right for you. Thank you again for listening and thank you so much for this sponsorship, PureTalk. He's here . He's here. There . Now broadcasting them from the underground command puzzle , deep in the vows of a hidden bunker. Somewhere under the brick and steel of a nondescript building, we've once again made contact with our leader love end . Well, hey there. It is Bryan Mud with you. The great one is going to be back on Monday. He's been in Israel. He will be locked and loaded for you in the meantime. It is an honor and a pleasure to be here with you as we are enjoying our Friday . If you miss the first hour, it is worth your while to go back and see why it was such a great freaking week and why if you only pay attention to one thing day in and day out, it shouldn't be the news. It should be the price of oil. Take a look at that. Price is truth , it'll set you free because the new cycle will just drive you back crap crazy . It's like one of these things is not like the other. No, things are actually going really well , you just can't find a single headline out there that would suggest it. Now , Bryan Mud, by the way , always an honor and a pleasure to be here with you. Find me at Bryan Mudradio Socially , the Brian Mudshow podcast wherever you get your podcast . What hasn't been so awesome this week ? A few things that haven't necess arily made the news. One of them certainly did I mean the election stuff , but then election integrity stuff . So one of the things that I'm very quick to point to is the stuff that's real with election integrity concerns and then stuff that happens not to necessarily be as concerning as is purported. It's very critical that we not cry wolf on the right when it comes to election integrity. There's a tendency towards that. Left tends to say, oh, there's there's never election fraud, never voter fraud and the right tend to take even the first appearance of it and never state it . The truth is somewhere in between . And for those who are not familiar, I have a long history in these matters going back to Florida two thousand and a very specific hand in ousting a couple election supervisors in Broward and Palm Beach County back in twenty eighteen . And so there's a right and a wrong way to go about this stuff . But what is important is to know what's real . You know, one of the ironies , we talked about this with the Supreme Court decisions yesterday the absurdity of illegal immigration in this country , things that have become so absurd that temporary protected status . The definition of temporary has to arrive at the United States Supreme Court Just a quick refresh on those Supreme Court decisions from yesterday and go check out Markle Levin show podcast from yesterday if you happen to miss the show and check out the full rundown, everything I broke down with those decisions . But the quick point is this it's temporary protected status . The reason under which you had the Syrians they were granted temporary protected status in twenty twelve was because the Assad regime was persecuting protesters . The Assad regime that is no more. I don't think the Assad regime that is no more is still persecuting protesters . And it was temporary status and that has to get to the United States Supreme Court to go Yeah , temporary means Trump can say you go back now . More absurd still Well , the Haitians . The Haitians dated back to twenty ten . Why? A January earthquake in Haiti . We had temporary protected status granted to Haitians because of the earthquake . You think the coast is clear from that earthquake ? It's been about sixteen and a half years. I know it's kind of a close call there . What do you think After a shock or two ? Maybe I and that has to get to the United States Supreme Court. And then the sc arier thing is what we saw because my focus when I was talking about that wasn't that you did have six three rulings in line with the rule of law and the Constitution. It was actually the three that went post constitutional . Three that took the most obvious examples of law in this country and inject ed their political desires instead on the temporary protected status and also on the asylum case that was every bit as obvious . Literally says under law , you must have arrived in the United States or be present in the United States to declare asylum . And we had a case arrive at the United States Supreme Court for people who said well we're in Mexico, we want to declare asylum . And so we literally had Spreme Court justices asking questions in a hearing saying if you're in Mexico, have you arrived in the United States ? But worse still you still have the three lib tard leftist justices go post constitutional and side in aim of their politics . The other problem of course that's permeated with the absurdities associated with all aspects of illegal immigration into this country is election integrity related stuff too . Because while you hear about those Supreme Court cases and while you at least have that information for you to be able to digest in the news , what you never hear about are the regular criminal convictions for illegal aliens related to voting . Remember, it doesn't happen. I mean, we don't have voter fraud anyway, let alone by illegal aliens . One story that was really overlooked this week happened to pertain to a situation right here in my state. There's a pretty good chance that you did not come across a story with three criminal convictions by illegal aliens for voter fraud in the state of Florida this week . Now , about this , here is a fact, two sides of stories, one side of facts facts . There has never been a federal election cycle in American history, not one, where there hasn't been provable and successfully prosecuted voter fraud that has led to criminal convictions . Not one , not one cycle in American history . For example , in my home state of Florida where this story emanated from this week, there are an average of two to three criminal convictions per year for voter fraud . Across the country have an average of thirty eight criminal convictions for voter fraud per year, not per cycle, that's per year. And so the question is never about whether there is or isn't voter fraud. There always has been . Every cycle has proven that there always will be attempts that are made. And so election integrity will be continue to be threatened as long as we have elections . But the one dynamic that is almost never discussed how long it actually takes to bring about a criminal conviction in these cases . And so you know the whole thing about wheels of justice moving slow ly, but how slowly ? Well, consider this . The U. S. Department of Justice this week issued a press release that was never reported to you in the news headline three non citizens convicted of illegal voting in related election offenses and federal elections The release reads like this. It says three non citizens have pleaded guilty in separate federal cases to illegally voting and federal elections and related election offenses . And as I mentioned, these three illegal aliens voted in Florida . But do you care to guess when it was that they actually voted ? Again, this release out from the Department of Justice this week . When did the illegal voting take place ? Two of the illegal aliens voted in twenty twenty, the third in twenty four . twenty twenty . And so this led me think of what might have happened elsewhere as far back as twenty twenty, but also what might have happened more recently across the country , you think about how long it took in a state like Florida that has some of the strongest election integrity measures in the country , a state that actually in an hour will tell you how elections went , their largest state, something that every state could do , also have really tight laws in the state of where if you harbor illegal aliens or if you transport them, you can be prosecuted . And yet , illegal aliens voting and we just nailed convictions for elections in twenty twenty. What would happen, for example , if it takes that long to get to a criminal conviction for voter twenty twenty , six years ? What do you think's happening in sanctuary cities and sanctuary states if that's happening in Florida ? Hence President Trump and what he is pushing with the SAVE Act. We have to be able to get proof of citizenship when you vote. Otherwise, we don't have elections. We have to be able to get voter ID . So John is a leader and hopefully he can get the votes. John is a leader. Not a very good one. He's talking about John Thom. He's a leader. Hopefully he can get the votes. If you're a good leader, you'd have had the votes . Now, it's interesting we talk about voter ID being an eighty, twenty or a ninety ten issue based upon the poll you take a look at , and yet we can't get this across the finish line of the Senate . There's nothing else that was kind of interesting that I was taking a look at pertaining to election integrity . And that happens to be the company that we keep . What's interesting is there are varying points where I brought this information to you on this show over the years because you have what's called the Electoral Integrity Project . And this is done worldw ide. It compares every country against each other for measures of election integrity. Harvard is the lead researcher that contributes from the United States . And so you have numerical scores putting election integrity measures together . And we have commonly been near the bottom of the developed world , but most recently we managed to blow that straight out of the water . And you know how we were talking about Haiti ? I want you to guess what state is closest to Haiti in terms of election integrity ? What state is closest to Haiti and election integrity . What countries do you think that the United States is most closely aligned with in election integrity and parts in part because of how some states have dropped their pants when it comes to election integrity . Think about those things . I'll be back with the answer. I'm Brian Mudd and for the great one. Mud Bluvin America doesn't stand for two hundred fifty years as a beacon of hope without the brave men and women willing to put their lives on the line to defend it. And to honor those patriots, pure talk and its customers will raise two hundred fifty thousand dollars for America's Warrior partnership by the end of July. Now this is an unbelievable found ation. It stands on the front line of helping to prevent veterans suicide by covering the basics, housing, access to VA benefits, transportation, counseling, the tangible things that give veterans a hand up. When you switch your cell phone service to PureTalk this month, you'll have an opportunity to round up to support America's Warrior Partnership. PureTalk will match that donation till the total donation hits two hundred fifty thousand dollars. So get unlimited talk , unlimited text, unlimited high speed data just thirty four ninety nine cents a month, folks. And be proud to partner with a wireless company that shares your values and was founded by a veteran himself. And that's pure talk. Get a pure talk dot com slash Levin. That's pure talk . com slash LEVIN to switch to my favorite wireless company right now, pure talk . Again, that's pure talk dot com slash Live in . So we have to say act three times in the House. We'll do it again. We're working on that, and I'm going to talk with the President about these issues and how to get the agenda moving again. This is going to be very productive. Yeah, so this week you have the dust up with Trump and Senator Republicans so like get your freaking butt in order, get the save act ed. I'm not doing your stupid housing thing. I'm not going to sign that until you get the Save Act passed . Senate two week recess, can't get it together. House Baker Mike Johnson. So yeah, we've already passed it a few times. We're going to do it again. Now , I mentioned that we had an announcement from the Department of Justice three criminal convictions , illegal aliens that were voting in elections all the way back to twenty twenty that were just nailed down . And that happened in Florida , and I pontificated about what do you think's happening in sanctuary states and sanctuary cities ? And I ended with a question for you, which pertained to the countries that the United States of America might be most closely aligned with on election integrity , according to the Electoral Integrity Project annual thing that's been going on. Harvard again is involved with this , but also the state because Haiti's been to the news, the temporary protected status, the place that I mean, how could we send people back to Haiti? I mean, it's only been sixteen and a half years since the earthquake that they were granted temporary status from, you know ? The state that was most close to Haiti in terms of election integrity, and what I will tell you is that Mr. Fillin' Producer, who by the way , I mean, I got I got an A gold star kind of filling producer. Not your average f prodilmuc ander, I'll put it that way. So he got it . He mailed it. Did you? If you came up with California , you would be right on the state . Hawaii, by the way, does manage speaking of Supreme Court cases, you know, the how they basically tried to ban the Second Amendment in Hawaii. That was also overturned on the split decision yesterday. They actually have worse election integrity, believe it or not in Hawaii than California, but California is second worst in this country and is most closely aligned with Haiti. How much so ? Well, let me start with the country first . So countries do you think we are most closely aligned with The great thing about the electoral integrity project , you get a numerical scale. They have all these different categories and they boil it down on a one to one hundred point system . Here are the five countries that we most closely align with in election integrity Niger , Senegal , Tunisia ? Bolivia . I mean those Bolivians man. Nobody runs elections like Bolivia . Oh and look at this Mexico . It's not like drug cartels run whole governments there. I mean, whew . Yes. That's the solid company our country keeps. No kidding. Niger Senegal, Tunisia, Bolivia, Mexico on the one to one hundred point system , the United States of America , the world's leading superpower, scores a fifty four . I believe even as far as the bar has been lowered in public education, a fifty four fails everywhere . I think if you get a fifty four at your at your job, you won't have it long . I think if you get a fifty four day in and day out, life is going to kick you in the ass . The United States of America scores a fifty four in election integrity. But wait, that's the country. What about California? That's next. Bryan Mudd in remarkable event . America doesn't stand for two hundred fifty years as a beacon of hope without the brave men and women willing to put their lives on the line to defend it. And to honor those patriots, pure talk and its customers will raise two hundred fifty thousand dollars for America's Warrior Partnership by the end of July. Now this is an unbelievable foundation , it stands on the front line of helping to prevent veterans suicide by covering the basics, housing, access to VA benefits, transportation, counseling, the tangible things that give veterans a hand up. When you switch your cell phone service to PureTalk this month, you'll have an opportunity to round up to support America's Warrior Partnership. PureTalk will match that donation till the total donation hits two hundred fifty thousand dollars. So get unlimited talk , unlimited text, unlimited high speed data just thirty four ninety nine cents a month, folks. And be proud to partner with a wireless company that shares your values and was founded by a veteran himself. And that's pure talk. Go to pure talk com dot slash Lavin. That's pure talk dot com slash LEVIN to switch to my favorite wireless company right now, pure talk . Again, that's pure talk dot com slash Levin Mark Mark doesn't suffer pools well . So if you're a pool , don't call eight seven seven three eight one three eight one one hey there. So as we are taking a look at election integrity , by the way, I just received a note from a listener David who was not impressed by the two illegal aliens from twenty twenty in Florida or the third illegal alien from twenty twenty four . Now what I'm pointing out in talking about these situations . These are the three this week . The three that were criminally convicted and announced by the Department of Justice this week from twenty twenty and twenty twenty four in the state of Florida there are dozens in the state of Florida alone going back to those cycles . Dozens since the early eighties , we've had over sixteen hundred and twenty criminal convictions for voter fraud. And by the way, in most of these situations, you're talking about people that are responsible for more than one vote . Some cases there are just one vote . But the bigger point is this week. One, you didn't hear about it, two , even in a state that is super diligent , illegal aliens voting and it took six years to get justice . So what could happen in sanctuary cities in sanctuary states? Hang with me . I know it might be hard . Hang with me. So let me get back to the electoral integrity project here . We score the United States of America a fifty four now. You know what it was the last time that I shared this with you We were seventy one . So we were still low C rappy students barely getting by in school when it came to elections in this country. We're at fifty four now . Why ? Because states like California have dropped their pants on elections , blue states across the country that have just totally blown out any pret ense of legitimacy by mailing ballots out to every single person regardless of if they live at that address or not , open ballot harvesting . As mister Backup Producer has pointed out, they're still counting ballots in California from the primary at the beginning of the month. Because it's so hard to count votes . So we are going backwards in election integrity . Our election integrity, this is something that needs to be put in front of every single poof for brain Democrat that says we can have voter IDs races Jim Crow two point zero if you're Chuck Schumer and but the left at large . Should we be able to perform better than Niger, Senegal, Tunisia, Bolivia, and Mexico in conducting elections. Are we not better than a fifty four ? Why can't we at least be say in the upper quarter of countries that collect that conduct elections ? Because we're actually in the bottom with the fifty four , we're in the bottom half . There's not another developed country in the world that is lower than us in election integrity. Again, according to the electoral integrity project, this isn't some right wing think tank . Nope, this is a project headed up by organizations like Harvard . So So here's the next piece . California specifically, as you take a look at that situation. So the Heritage Foundation , if you dig into the state scores , they will give numerical scores for states that is applicable to the electoral integrity project scale as well . Now if you're wondering what Haiti has in terms of election integrity , it's the thirty seven . Okay, so on balance , Haiti does conduct less credible elections than the United States. Not a lot. We're fifty four , there are thirty seven . Do you know where California scores ? What is California's grade at conducting elections? Election integrity . Survey says they are a thirty five . Yes , California is worse than Haiti when it comes to election integrity. And the irony is here you have the temporary protected status case for Haitians who were granted it from an earthquake in January of twenty ten . We can't go back to Haiti . Haiti conducts more credible elections in California . Just mentally null on that one for a moment. Now , when you take a look at what happened in California earlier this month , one of the things I was talking to Mr. Fillin producer is the statistical anomaly associated with it . And so people will continue to say, well, you know, you don't have problems with election integrity, and there's nothing to see here . And Hilton got through in the gubernatorial race, so it's okay . Now do I know if there were shenanigans that took place in California no . I do not . Because again, when I've been involved , I know what's real, I know what isn't . You do not cry wolf . You need to have the information in hand to be able to make those credible claims . However , it is obvious that the apparatus exists, and it's also obvious that California intentionally created a system that has worse election integrity protect ions than Haiti . There's something else that came up in those elections . There had never been a time, not statistically , not in any election, not in ring choice, not in open primaries , no elections anywhere , where at any interval when you've already had at least half of the vote tabulated , if you had two candidates of the same party , that the leading candidate suddenly received a much lower share of the party vote . And so what happened with all those votes that were counted after election day , your leading mayoral candidate , your leading Gubern atorial candidate . So we're talking about Javier Basera and Karen Bass . They remain static. If you notice their vote percentage barely moved after that point , but the third candidates in those races after election day , both Democrats ended up getting the overwhelming majority of the Democrat vote chair from then on , which of course in the mayoral election in LA was enough to knock out Spencer Pratt . That's never that type of thing has never happened before in a single election , it happened into same cycle . There's still county ballots by the way, because it's so hard . And California has election integrity that's on scale with Haiti. Actually, I'm sorry. Haiti does better than California with election integrity. So you can count on trusting Haitian elections going forward more than California the way they run things . And so there are several things that are important here. Well, why am I dwelling on this in particular? Well, in the context of the SAFE Act , the importance of election integrity there are federal minimums that must come into play . It is crystal clear that when you have states like California that are bent on lowering standards that allow for non credible elections to take place , that allow for voter fraud to occur if people choose to do so , which again, there has never been a single election cycle, not a single federal election cycle in American history where there hasn't been successfully prosecuted voter fraud . And imagine that what is actually caught and successfully prosecuted is likely a small percentage of what actually is conducted and people get away with. So against that backdrop , where you can have illegal aliens that are just going down this week for illegally voting in a state with strong election integrity that is super strong in combating illegal immigration from six years ago , what do you think happens in California ? What do you think happens in other states that have put similar types of systems place . This is where we must have federal minimums . This is where we must have the ninety ten or eighty twenty save act in supplies . You know, we talk about credibility in this country. You talk about election integrity and people want to run to whatever their thought process is about. As I mentioned, the left understates it, the right tends to overstate it a bit . The bottom line is that once upon a time , our country operated with some of the highest election integrity in the world . Right around the time, by the way , that we also had the second highest education outcomes in the world . You know, back in nineteen eighty, the onset of the Department of Education, when that came about, US ranked second in education outcomes in the world . And you take a look at what's happened since. Back around that window of time, we had some of the strongest election integrity in the world . Now we continue to go backwards How is it that we can run a country successfully that associates itself with the credibility of elections in Niger, Senegal, Tunisia, Bolivia, and Mexico , with our largest state that runs elections that are less credible than Haiti , where people are making appeals to the Supreme Court not to have to go back to that country from an earthquake sixteen and a half years ago . By the way, California score only three points better than Venezuela prior to the removal of Maduro . So how bad is the system that has now been put in place . And I'm just giving the California example. You know, New York is barely better than California . Many other blue states do not rank. Remember, the U. S. average is now a fifty four. The average blue state is below a fifty , meaning worse than Mexico, Bolivia, Tunisia, Senegal Niger, barely better than Haiti . But California , as it sits now , three points better than Venezuela's election integrity when Maduro was still there . What do you think we're going to have as a country going forward if we continue to just travel down this path and you don't have the United States Senate balls and do the right thing . We don't have the SAVAT . This is worth the talking filibuster. This is worth whatever it takes because if you don't have integrity in elections, what do you end up like? You'll end up like Niger, you'll end up like Senegal, Tunisia, Bolivia. You'll end up like Haiti at some point . You'll end up like Venezuela , which was one of the richest countries per capita in the world before you had communist dictators that took over it . It's one of the things that is so often taken for granted , that every superpower in the world, every dynasty historically fails. The average dynasty, the average superpower world history only lasts two hundred years . Here we are getting ready to celebrate our two hundred and fiftieth anniversary. History says we don't make another hundred years . And if we continue to pull crap like this and do nothing about it , that very well might be the case. I'm Brian Mudd, and for the great one. Mud in America doesn't stand for two hundred and fifty years as a beacon of hope without the brave men and women willing to put their lives on the line to defend it. And to honor those patriots, pure talk and its customers will raise two hundred fifty thousand dollars for America's Warrior Partnership by the end of July. Now this is an unbelievable foundation. It stands on the front line of helping to prevent veterans suicide by covering the basics, housing, access to VA benefits, transportation, counseling, the tangible things that give veterans a hand up. When you switch your cell phone service to PureTalk this month, you have an opportunity to round up to support America's Warrior Partnership. PureTalk will match that donation till the total donation hits two hundred and fifty thousand dollars. So get unlimited talk, unlimited text , unlimited high speed data just thirty four ninety nine cents a month folks. And be proud to partner with a wireless company that shares your values and was founded by a veteran himself. And that's PureTalk. Go to pureTalk dot com slash Levin. That's pure talk . com slash LEVIN to switch to my favorite wireless company right now, PureTalk. Again, that's pure talk dot com slash Levin . With the help of many people in this room, eighteen months ago, we won the most consequential election victory in Americ an history. Yeah, no doubt about that. President Trump today, the faith and freedom coalition , the twenty twenty six road to majority and where would we be? I mean , could you even begin to imagine how screwed we would be right now if Kamala Harris had won that fight? I just I mean the open borders , China would have taken Taiwan by now. The AI race would be over because we get all of our chips from Taiwan Semi . It would be just where to begin. It would be over You know, the Iranians might have even found out by now that that well amom wasn't going to come out. That you know, like nuking the world and washing the world in blood , that didn't lead to the well imam popping up . That might have even happened by just where would we be? Let's go to we're talking about California actually having lower election integrity measures in place than Haiti according to the elector al integrity project, which has Harvard as one of the researchers involved. Bill, Sonora, California . How about your voting system? Yes, what the deal is there in Marin County in the first Trump election for president against Hillary Clinton, I looked it up in the recorder's office as the election was over and ninety six percent of the voters voted for Hillary Clint on in Marin County. Those all those records are destroyed on the next major election , but nobody in a free country votes ninety six percent. Cuba, yes, Russia, yes, but not there, not in Marin Countay . Well, and I mean, you just point holding even in a place like DC it tends to be like ninety two to ninety four es ninety six . Now a couple things. Appreciate the the call, Bill. You take a look at some of the various different integrity measures. You take a look at , you know, some of the anomalies in whether it's twenty sixteen, twenty twenty , one of the things that can really be done these in the AI age is you can run statistical probabilities with a lot of these things pretty easily . And that is one of the ways to begin to work going forward to try to find some of the issues quickly. But the problem is , you know, like, for example, California, how they legalize things that are illegal in most of the country. You know, for example, a state like mine of Florida where you know the results of every non provisional ballot and some vote by mail ballots that you have to be postmarked and legitimately by that day and it's got to be received within but with the exception of very few ballots , everything's counted within an hour . You know the outcome and and there's voter ID , proof of citizenship , all these different things that are in the SAVE Act. Third largest state, it can be done. And we used to be a joke. It's a choice not to. And so the measures that occur in place in California, ballad harvesting, for example, you go to jail in my state for that. And that's one of the things that are difficult to understand from one state to another, is just how far down the road certain states like California have gone to enable potential shenanigans . And that's why we've got to have some federal protections that are put into place because otherwise , where is this going? Brian Mud in for Mark Club . 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Sign up to receive a free USA Israel flagpin when you go online to Levinf ellowship. org that's LEVIN for the Fellowship. org He's here . He's here . Now broadcasting them from the underground command puzzle deep in the fouls of a hidden bunker somewhere under the brick and steel of a nondescript building , we've once again made contact with our leader park . Love end . This is the last hour that you are going to be subjected to a fill in host because a great one will be back from Israel on Monday for you so you can look forward to that. In the meantime , I do enjoy my time with you. I love being here. Thanks for having me. Brian Mudd. You can catch me socially at Brian Mudd Radio . You can catch the Brian Mud Show podcast wherever you get your podcasts and I'm not going to get to everything I intended to get to. I took so long getting the let out in the first hour putting the good news in front of you despite all the headlines that I'm going to have to kind of combine a few thoughts . But one thing that is really important because I started out talking about how great of a week this has been terms of Middle East, other things are going on . But then the other stuff below the surface. So we have the Supreme Court decisions yesterday. Okay, thankfully, common sense prevailed in those , but you still had each of the three leftist justices go post constitutional. Yeah, it's one thing with KJV. We've learned about her . She might not even know how to read a law book. It is really possible that she was just DEI promoted and like even DEI the bar or something. Does not seem like a particularly intelligent person. And again, what do you expect from somebody who doesn't know what a woman is and theoretically is one . Now , the other two at least on matters of basic law have been willing to be reasonable , but no longer did you have so to Mayor and Kagan, who were reasonable yesterday , as they went totally posted constitutional on the two immigration related cases? This is important as it is clear what the long game of the Democrat Party has been . One of the things that so often I'll talk about and you've heard me discuss this on the program , guessing for Mark over the years, but one thing that is so , I think, under appreciated is the extent to which the long game has been played. And how from the United States Supreme Court with those justices to New York City and Mum Danny , how the Socialist Communist takeover has been coming about . A lot of people will take a look at the elections on Tuesday and the continued momentum past Tuesday of the comm y wing of the DNC and they think that something has changed . I mean, like literally election outcomes okay , but actually nothing has . Absolutely not hing has . This has been the longest of long games that has been played . President Trump talking about communism . Everybody gets free food. Everything is free from this point forward. Everyone's going to vote for me. The problem is after two or three years, the country is a disaster area , the country fails. They always do. Yeah, somewhere along the way. You run out of other people's money. So let's talk a little bit about the Socialist takeover at the DNC because there's been a lack of perspective on this for much of what I've come across this week . Tuesday's primary day showed the future of the Democrat Party and the country if we're not careful because the left has played the long game for literally over a century. People will take a look at whatever particular election they want to point to and go Oh my gosh, how'd this happen? No , this has been going on since Woodrow Wilson and this dates back to the progressivism of him and you could actually find routes that predate a little bit, but that's really when it kicked off in a big way . But when really did the current anarchist , Marxist , socialistic , all these factions come together? How ? Well , it was the Solinsky hippies in the sixties . I mean, the playbook has been there since the sixties. Solinsky literally wrote it , and you've seen the incremental socialism and Marxism build and build and build in this country , much like the creeping crud that progressivism is . It is progressive . So a lot of political observers take a look at what's going on . Mamdami, AOC , insert your kami here . This is the insurgency . It is not the insurgency of the Democrat Party it's not . Consider this . When was Bernie Sanders first elected to Congress ? That would be nineteen ninety . Okay, the burn has been in DC since ninety one , elected in ninety . Barack Hussein Obama , student of rules for radicals in the Weather Underground . When was he elected president ? That'd be two thousand eight, right? And then in twenty eighteen , we saw the era the squad led by socialists like AOC and Talib entered the Democrat Party officially. I mean, Obama was that guy, but just not so overtly . He did it with the people he put in positions of power around him , implemented those instruments into government , then was able to play Biden like the puppet that he was . So twenty eighteen, you have the squad , rolls for radicals, sixties , Ern , Obama, two thousand eight , squad , twenty eighteen . That's how long this has been playing out , even in election outcomes in this country. And so since then, they have been doing their level best to conquer the entire Democrat party . Now, over the past twenty years, findings by Gallup and Pew Research show those who identify as liberals within the Democratic Party have risen by one percent per year. If you wonder why things have arrived at Libertar territory as the norm , it's because one percent more liberals every year in the Democratic Party. People used to say, well, I'm moderate or I'm a little bit liberal. No, I'm really liberal. That's grown by one percent per year for twenty years. So in other words, the Democratic Party of today twenty points to the harder left of where it was twenty years ago . More to the point, a majority of Democrat voters now identify what the with the most radical factions of the policy. So the shift, for example, explains why twenty years ago, the standard Democrat position was actually opposed to same sex marriage. Remember, Barack Obama ran opposed same sex marriage and against illegal immigration, right? So twenty years ago, the Democrat Party's standard position opposed to same sex marriage and opposed to illegal immigration today the most commonly Democrat supported position if you take a look at the polling of Democrats , the highest ranking grouping of Democrats approve of government funded sex change operations for children and open borders for illegal aliens . That's where we've gone in twenty years by moving one percent within the party to the hardest left position . But it's not just radical social policies that are being advocated for, of course, it's that increasingly economic socialists are knocking down the DNC's door. So Tuesday's primaries of course featured the three races where you had Mondani endorsed socialists that faced off against Democrat establishment candidates includ,ing two sitting congressmen . And what was the result? Mom Dami, of course, won three for three . And so it is rapidly becoming the Mom Dani o party . The socialists take over the Democrat Party in full swing . And one of the interesting developments here the past couple of days, you had Michigan Democrat senator Slotkin , you know, she made news after Tuesday's primaries when she said that her party needed new leadership in the House instead of meaning that she's thrown to King Jeffrey's and Chuck You under the bus . But when you listen to her reasoning, she said this, she said Democrats were soundly defeated in twenty twenty four. I was in a swing state and I won that same year. To me, the lesson was simple. Democrats had too many priorities. They tried to make everyone happy. Oh yeah, they were really trying to make everyone happy with open borders and defund poison that was awesome. And answer every question . When you prioritize everything , no one knows what you actually stand for. We just need to show people that what we care about is an economy where if you work hard and play by the rules you get ahead and your kids do better . We just need to show people that we what we care about is an economy where if you work hard and play by the rules, you get ahead and your kids do better. The funny thing about that comment is she's right . She's exactly right. I mean, that is what this country at its crux is about economically . But is that what the Democrat Party actually stands for ? Does the Democrat base actually believe that ? No . If you take a look at polling, you'll also see that a majority of Democrats do not believe that you can get ahead anymore. They're not optimistic for the future. And so this is the thing . Now people will talk about the insurgency and the mom Donnie Aosu, no , this is where the party is . You're only going to continue to see more of it because all that's happened is that Democrats have trended one percent harder to the left per year for each of the twenty years . There's been no indication that's slowing down and the average Democrat no longer believes you can get ahead in this country . And so the contrast and the importance of the midter this year have never been bigger . The president commenting on that today . Everyone needs to get out and vote in the midterms. We have to win this election. This election very's vital. If we don't, everything that we've gotten, we've gotten so much. I mean, religious liberty, but we've gotten so much . Our military is the strongest in the world. I built it during my first term. Yeah, sure enough . And so that's the bad stuff, right? Now I'm going to tie some things together, including with Iran and progress that's been made , but also the momentum that has begun to swing back and is with the right around the world . There's actually a lot that's going on politically outside this country , but actually signs that it's starting to change in this country . And I'll pick up there next N.ext, I'm Brian Mudd, in for the great one. Mud in . And we're live from the living room as Doug eyes up the match say spread. He's reaching for the buffalo wing. Perfect. Hang on, what's this? Oh, he's gone for a can of Pepsi too. Incredible What a finish !ens Sational combination ! Look at the delight on his face! There's no doubt about it! He just tastes better! Match days deserve Pepsi. Food deserves Pepsi. Grab a pack of Pepsi Zero Sugar for today's match. It's poetry in motion. I've told all the parties here today, it's the beginning of the beginning. There's a lot of work ahead and we don't in any way underestimate the difficulty of the task ahead , but we understand the importance of it, how vital it is. And we are honored to have played a part in bringing this together. Yeah, so we're going to talk about four points in progress with Iran with Lebanon as the case happened to be Israel and momentum being on the right around the world . Secretary of State Markarubio talking after the signing of the trilateral agreement with Israel and Lebanon. That was huge today . Very big deal . And so the newsflow has been based actually on a good foundation this week. You know, I open the show by saying it's been a good freaking week . I don't care what you hear the news. And if you just want to know how things really are going in the Middle East , just stop , just stop with the news. Look at the price of oil and go from there because the news is just absurd on its face most of the time anymore. Things have been so much better . And so this week has been built on a good foundation as Vice President JD Vance mentioned after his negotiations with Iran to start the week . Remember last Sunday where everything got kicked off, the details of the memorandum of understanding the framework for the deal coming together with Iran . And so here's the deal . Specifically, Vance outlined when he came back to the US four key points for positive change that were agreed to. They were these . The first , establishing a mechanism for keeping the strait of hormuzz open . Okay, has that happened this week ? He said, Hey, we did it. We figured out a mechanism for keeping the street open. Has it happened? The answer is yes . As I mentioned the first hour, since the signing of the MOU going all the way back to a week ago Wednesday seventy three percent of the amount of stuff that ordinarily would go through the Strait of Hormuz has come through the Strait of Hormu . I know it's on the news . And actually the two most recent full days preceding today don't know about today yet . We had more than a hundred percent of the stuff get through the Strait of Horm ose than ordinarily would have on a Wednesday and Thursday in June . So yes, there is a mechanism for keeping the street open. Yes, it has been working . The second point, coordination for a sustained ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah and Lebanon . And what's interesting there is has that occurred? No , but actually something a lot better has happened . Hezbollah. I mean , a terror proxy, right? And again, if you can't trust Islamic terrorists to keep their word here, who can you trust, right ? Well, so what happened? We got this trilateral deal now with Lebanon . And so what does that mean? Well, in the words of Rabio ? Hopefully, we'll have many more of these conversations and make real and tangible progress so that the people, both of these countries can be hopeful about their future, a future of peace, a future of prosperity , a future of mutual coexistence in a way that's beneficial. The reason that Hezbollah has taken up in Lebanon the way they have is not because the government wants them there. They don't want the, you know, the terror proxy of Iran hanging out their country. It's because they don't have the ability to deal with them. It's kind of like Mexico and the drug cartels . You know, the Mexican government, I mean, I'm sure some of them are on the take, but like from the president in that position, for example, it's not like they are thrilled with the drug cartels running about half the country give or take. It's that they don't have the ability to even combat it militarily . Lebanon's been in that position. So what did Israel agree to today ? They agreed to withdraw from two regions in southern Lebanon where the Lebanese military is going to come in and Israel is going to have their back Is,rael obviously can take out Hezbollah if needed . This is even better than a sustained ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah and Lebanon . That's the second point . The third , that has to do with nukes . The fourth, some negotiations. I'll get to that stuff next in the momentum, right mud in for live in . Summer means a whole lot of extra miles. That's why every oil change at Vaveline Instant Oil Change includes an eighteen void maintenance check. Instant oil change . Mark Cliffin doesn't just read the news, he makes the news. Call the Montrevin show now Edge seven seven three eight one three eight one one The president has multiple options at his disposal if Iran goes back on their word or if Iran decides they don't want to make a deal. Let's hope that's not the case. We don't want that to be the case. We're going to give diplomacy every chance to work . We've got a good team working on it. And so if it doesn't work out, the president knows what his options are . That man is potentially the greatest secretary of state this country has seen . Marco talking about things along with the deal, the trilateral deal with Israel in Lebanon today . Phenomenal situation that's come together there. Brian Mudd in for Mark Levin as I'm talking about four points of progress . We already had these very four specific things that Vance outlined coming back out of last weekend, the framework for the deal to go along with the fourteen point memorandum of understanding. What we've seen this week is that things are working on the first of the points establishing a mechanism for keeping the straight horn moose open, that's happened. Has it been perfect? No. Has it worked? Yes . The second, coordination for a sustained ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah and Lebanon. We've gotten something better. We got a deal with Lebanon to take back its country from Hezbollah The third one , an agreement on IAEA inspect ions. That means the nuclear program inspections. Now here's the next thing that is just so absurd on its face . So you've had the news video of Trump we going to have the inspectors in there This is so stupid . What is Iran's leverage in negotiations ? Their main point of le verage had been what ? And arguably still is if you believe that they could put it right back to where it's the oil, right? It's the Strait of Vorm uz. Okay, so since have operations moving once again in the strait of Hormuz , since we have oil at a price that is far lower than it typically is on this date in June . What is Iran's remaining leverage in negotiations? What is the only other thing they got ? It's their nucle program, right? That is the one thing for Trump that must be coming out of this . Iran can never have a nuclear weapon . So is Iran at the beginning of the negotiations early in the sixty days going to go,. Yeah you know, just go ahead and bring in the nuclear inspectors . There's no chance of that . So there will not be inspectors on the ground in Iran . Trump, when he was asked this week, said they'll be in at the appropriate time. We'll be after a deal was signed . But that is on track too. The fourth point , a process for the technical negotiations that remain . And what we have seen come out of that process with our negotiators negotiators that have been left with Iran's, things have been happening behind the scenes. Things have been working . And so Vance, he also addressed a lot of the reporting, which included a lot of fake news this week . And in talking about the negotiations, he said this about how things went down. He said, yeah, there's a little bit of threatening. There's a bit of whining, but at the end of the day, the talks continued and we made great progress. The final deal is in the house. We set the foundation. We haven't built the house, but we've laid a successful foundation to get to a good place for the American people . And it was also at that point when we had another announcement from the U. S. Treasury Department this week. It's when the Iranian sanctions on oil had been lifted for sixty days . That was a pretty big deal in all of this. Treasury Secretary Scott isn't talking about it. The Iranians were always selling oil. It was going to China but at a discount. It is a carrot that we can always pull back. We want them to see what it feels like not having the sanctions on and then we can always put them back on. And so if you're wondering how big of a deal that actually is to Iran , they've had sanctions in place in some form or fashion since nineteen seventy nine. Most the modern oil sanctions that have been in place have been there since twenty ten . Mention the deal that was cut for below market rate oil to China . How big of a deal has the sanctioned oil thing been ? Well, did you know that eighty three percent of Iran's oil sales have been stopped due to US sanctions , eighty three percent . The difference for Iran has been over one point two million barrels of oil per day . Now , what happened? A lot of people , how could you take the sanctions off the Iranian oil . Well, if this gets us to an end of a potential nuclear World War III, I'd say it'd be worth it. But here's the bigger thing . If we have an extra one point two million plus barrels of oil in the market today. What's that going to do to the price of oil ? Do we not benefit by that as well? Is the rest of the world not benefit from that as well ? And so in addition to getting oil out of the Strait of Horn Moose that ordinarily would be floating out of the Strait of Horn Moose this week. You also have an additional one point two million barrels of oil per day that are coming online out of Iran and that's an addition to what we've done in Venezuela, where we have doubled production and the one and a half million barrels per day that's coming out of Venezuela's coming to the United States This is how you go from oil that aver aged one hundred and two dollars forty cents in May to oil that is at seventy dollars twenty four cents real time . A price for a barrel of oil that is twenty dollars lower than the typical barrel of oil on this particular day . Even the negotiations that Trump has agreed to here are benefiting the United States . Taking off this Iranian war , the Iranian oil sanctions helps . And it certainly gives them reason to want to stay on the course . Now this entire process , it's being done on a trusted verified basis , all of it, meaning that nothing akin to the Obama two point zero kind of deal. It's what people have talked about. Obama himself. There are no way he's going to get a deal better than what I had. Right . So That's going well . If I were to break down the entire fourteen point memorandum of understanding , everything is beginning to come together on it , especially with this peace with Israel and Lebanon . Now stand by because Iran's not going to be happy about that. That's their terror proxy hezblot over there . So I don't expect that they are just going to go quietly into the night . But what we are actually building towards is a permanent solution . You take a look at Hamas and what happened in Gaza . Nobody thought that Trump could negotiate with that situation. How do you negotiate with terrorists? How do you negotiate Hamas ? Well, we got that ceasefire in place last year. It's stayed . We have a governing body that is of the other Middle Eastern countri es that are aligned with us, and it's more or less been working over there . We now are in the process of doing something similar with Iran . Hamas has greatly been minimized. Hezbollah, the second of the three terror proxies of Iran, the Houthis being the other , are in the process of being neutralized . This is important because one of the things that Iran had done is decentralize their terror network. For example, even if you went boots on the ground and took out most of the IRGC, they would still have their terror proxies. Trump's managing to neutralize that while getting everything we need while eradicating the threat of the nuclear World War III from Iran . Things are going well . Here's something else for you. Now I mentioned that the trend is towards the right around the world . So conservatism is winning . You started taking a look at some of the tea leaves. It was interesting back in twenty sixteen. You remember what the growing mood of the world was ? Remember with the precursor that maybe just maybe Trump could pull out the election win was. Remember it was Boris Johnson, what happened in England ? So it took the Labor Party leftist and open border specialists Kierstarmer less than two years to flunk out of office as the Brits had been throwing fifths about how their country had been run . And so in recent months, local elections in England , conservatives just whacked liberals by nearly two to one , nearly two to one, there's local elections. That's what put the pressure campaign on the Labor Party, the leftists to bring about a new prime minister . And so the left on the ropes in England, as they should be , but more impressively is what's been happening in places like Argentina, Chile, now Colombia , where candidates who run on free market ideas, law and order policies are winning. Argentina Tavier Milay, you know, he might actually be with all respect to Trump. Favorite world leader. Mile is amazing. He's won two elections in Argentina, the first Trump like figure that led the way for Central and South America. But now he has company because it was last December that Chile's most conservative presidential candidate, Jose Cast, not only won the presidency, but brought about the largest conservative majority in Chile's history. They had a socialist government preceding. Chile went from socialists to the largest conservative majority in the country's hist ory. And then it was this past Sunday that Colombia voted for Esperilla, breaking from a socialist president to one who ran on a platform. Listen to this. They went from socialism to electing someone who ran on cutting the federal government in Colombia by forty percent , enforcing laws , building ten mass prisons to clean up the streets, crack down of the drug cartels and illegal immigration , free markets, including drilling for oil, which they had not been doing , and a platform of doubling energy production . That won in a place where they had chosen socialists . Conservatism is winning away . It never has in places it never has. And this is taking place while open borders and weak law enforcement leftists are losing and continuing to fail pretty much everywhere they're in place . And so this is also an encouraging trend just might hold the potential to have likes in this country come November now about that . One of the things I do as they take a look at the midterm elections using history as a guide. You know, since the abnot of the current two party system, we've had forty one midterm election cycles. What's the average outcome then ? Well, the average is that the president's party loses three US Senate seats in twenty eight seats in the house. That's the typical midterm election cycle. And if just the norm were to happen, Republicans would hang on to a fifty fifty majority in the Senate with Vance being the tie break , and they would lose the house . And Republicans have the fifty three, forty seven majority in the Senate . Republicans currently hold a twenty eighteen to two hundred twelve majority in the House. There are four vacancies meaning that Democrats only need to flip four seats in the house and really three by the time probably the specials are done to be able to flip the lower chamber . And only three times in American history has the incumbent president's party gained seats in a midterm election cycle. You go back to nineteen thirty four, FDR's first term, Great Depression New Deal . ninety eight was the next time . Bill Clinton's second term as a rebuttal by voters to the impeachment. And then two thousand two during George W. Bush's first term post nine eleven. So only three out of forty one midterm elections says historically a ninety three percent chance that Democrats fare best . And so then you take a look at the te a leaves that are out there. So people will say what they will about polls . A lot of polls are crap. You have to know how to use them and how to go about making sense of them. And there is one polling metric that has been one hundred percent accurate going all the way back to the abent of the nineteen thirties and the original Gallop polling . Whatever party in the midterm cycle has been favored on the generic ballot on election day has fared best without fail. And if you take a look at the generic ballot, the twenty twenty two midterms most recently, the real clear politics average a polls . Republicans were favored by two and a half percent. Republicans ended up winning the national popular vote in the midterms by two percent point eight . So pretty darn accurate. So here's where the shift has begun. If you go back a month ago today, may twenty sixth, it was the peak of Democrat performance so far in this cycle. The generic ballot said Democrats plus seven point seven. How bad is that? It's worse than twenty eighteen when Democrats won the wave election . Democrats are favorite on election day by seven point three . So a month ago today , Democrats had a better advantage than they did in twenty eighteen. They actually had an advantage that was on par with what they did in two thousand six during that wave midterm election cycle. So where are we today ? Democrats plus five point three . What does this mean You haven't even begun to see the majority of the benefit at the pump that's going to come from these lower oil prices . That's going to come over the next week and a half to two weeks. This is just some of the early read on. Hey, with the memorandum of understanding and just some of the early benefits of lower gas prices and without inflation having washed through the entire economy. We've already seen a two point five point turn back towards the right. Democrats would still wax Republicans if the midterms are held today with this . It would be somewhere between a strong outcome to a potential wape and not quite . But the trend is definitely the Republican's trend. And if things work out economically, the way that I set up in the first hour , which if we hold the line with where we are right now, you're going to see things dramatically improve not just at the pump, but economically right down the line. There's a lot of room for optimism heading towards November's election day. I'm Brian Mud and for the great one. Mud in At Pfizer, we are committed to listening to and learning from patients and their care teams so that we can work to help address their unmet needs . From early discovery to clinical trials , through approval and use of our medicines , patients are at the heart of everything we do. Learn more at cancer dotfiz per. com . He came to launch on the Wednesdayun lach, which is a policy launch he came and said, What in the hell are you guys doing? I'm in the middle of a negotiation trying to bring Iran to the table and you guys say I have to re withdraw troops. It's the craziest thing in the world. Why would you ever give the Iran ians any idea that we're not united ? Right. And so in that lunch, a lot of things came about. You know, Trump said, I'm not going to pass your stupid housing thing until you pass the SAVE Act. Trump said, You guys are idiot s . We're winning over there. I'm not going to sign your stupid virtue signaling thing in the Senate anyway . Get your butt in gear. And what happened? Got the votes and they ended up ipping in the Senate and did back Trump on Iran , but the safe act . I think about what would happen if Rick Scott who challenged Shanthun for Senate Majority Leader had won. He certainly be a stronger leader. I guarantee you there would be fill up a talking filibuster that would have to happen by Democrats to avoid getting to the Save Act. What about Thun Jeffrey? Arlington, Texas joining us. Welcome to the show. Hello I'm still waiting. You're on. Okay , hello. Did you see the article on John Solomon's Just the News about John Thoon's party back in South Dakota recommending a censure and that 's the committee resolutions committee and the state then vote on it state Pyart. Would it be nice. I appreciate the call. Thank you for being there to take us out. Hopefully they can put pressure on him at home to do the right thing. If we do not have protections in our elections , California that runs less credible elections than Haiti, the average blue state getting less than fifteen election integrity, where do we stand ? A lot of progress being made, it's been an honor and a pleasure being here with you, Marks back on Monday. Have a great weekend This episode is brought to you by Google Health. Stop chasing someone else's definition of health. What matters is what's healthy for you. Google Health offers a new kind of coach built with gem ini for effortless tracking, sleep insights, and holistic coaching tailored to you. 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