Democratic Party Fundraising Challenges

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We break down the numbers and what they mean for the economy Coming in below expectations here. so the estimate was one hundred fifteen thousand jobs added in June. That coming in at fifty seven thousand. So just around half that was expected. I'm Georgia Howe, John is out this week. It's Friday, july third, and this is Morning Wire Rst quotas are back as the administration re upps their commitment to mass deportations. What's the new strategy and is it sustainable? Seeing what that investment means, seeing what we're doing every single day on getting the worst of the worst out because we have continuous funding is absolutely remarkable And President Trump announces a first ever midterm GOP convention in Dallas this September. The event is an effort to boost turnout in races that will decide whether the Republican Party mains control of Congress Thanks for waking up with Morning Wire. Stay tuned. We have the news you need to know Before we jump into the show, I want to tell you something really exciting happening at DailyWire this fourth of July. America is turning two hundred and fifty years old this year, and DailyWire is marking the occasion with an offer we've never made before. Three months of Dailywire plus for just seventeen dollars seventy six cents. It's an awesome deal. you'll get access to all of our shows, plus editorial articles, and the full documentary and entertainment library Plus, there's a ton of newly added American history content just for July that is absolutely worth your time watching. So if you've been thinking about joining Dailywire, now is a great time to go to dailywireplus d. com to take advantage of this deal and happppy two fiftieth America The June jobs report is out, The US economy added just fifty seven thousand non farm payroll jobs in June, well short of the expected one hundred fifteen thousand. Joining us to interpret the new jobs numbers is EJ Nntony, Chief economist at the Heritage Foundation. EJ, thanks for coming on pleasure, thank you for having me again. So just to start, can you run us through some of the top line findings from this most recent report Sure, you mentioned the headline number in terms of the non fararm payrolls added, unfortunately though, when you look at the previous two months that were revised down, they were revised down by more than the number of jobs added in June. In other words, it's a net reduction in the number of jobs in the overall economy. and that's just the number of jobs. If we look at the second part of the report in which we get the information from a survey of households And we ask questions like are you employed? unemployed, et cetera. There we saw the number of people employed in the country fell by more than half a million last month. So things are clearly moving in the wrong direction. And unfortunately, the further you go into the report, I think you just continue to find that a lot of the internals are not very good this time around. Now, what can we infer about the health of various sectors from this report? Where are we seeing the jobs come from? and then what sectors are seeing weak or negative growth It was very mixed. We're still seeing construction do okay. We're still seeing the health carere sector power along. Government really hasn't added many jobs at all this year because the hiring that we have seen at the state and local level has basically been offset more or less by all of the firing at the federal level. So we're not seeing the over reliance on government that we did in years past. I guess that's good news there, right But if we look at something like leisure and hospitality, which we really thought was going to put in aong a strong print this time around, it really didn't. It actually seriously underperformed. And maybe the seasonal adjustments have something to do with that. So it's definitely possible that the next couple of months we'll see the June number revised higher. Here's hoping that's the case Because again, if we look at other data, especially from the private sector, you would have expected leisure and hospitality to do a heck of a lot better than it did according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Now, what policies do you attribute these trends to? I mean, we've had tariffs in place for at least a year now. Do you see fingerprints from that on these reports Some of the tariffs are definitely having a negative effect, unfortunately. You know we still don't have a reciprocal tariff rate schedued. Part of the problem why tariffs have become the drag that they have is that they haven't been implemented the way we were promised they would be. When you look at, for example, the section two hundred thirty two on steel and aluminum They have imposed serious cost burdens on American manufacturers because we're having to import the raw materials, pay a very high tariff on it to then try to produce stuff in our factories here and not only sell it here, but then ship it abroad. So that has hurt both domestic consumers. It's also hurt our exporters unfortunately, because again, I don't think we're necessarily getting those tariff rates right So that has definitely become a drag, but far and away, the biggest drag we're seeing right now on the labor market is definitely the fallout from the Iran warar. We see that in a lot of other survey data, whether they're the purchasing manager indexes, the surveys from the twelve regional Fed banks, both on the manufacturing and on the service sector side The incredible cost pressure that we have seen as a result of not just oil spiking, but a lot of other commodities too again, all from the fallout of the Iran warar, whether it's the petrochemical blend stocks that go into plastics, whether it's sulfuric acid, whether it's helium, all of these different things that have gone up in price so much have really chilled hiring in a lot of sectors of the economy So overall, a pretty brutal report, wereere there any silver linings that you saw If you had to find any silver lining in this report, it would be this. lookingoo at foreign born workers, the number of foreign born workers with jobs, that actually fell pretty substantially. And not only did it fall month over month, it's a very noisy datas set. That's not necessarily as meaningful, but on an annual basis, it also fell. And that takes out the seasonality component. and it fell so much That it is now actually below its pre pandemic trend for the first time since twenty twenty two. So I think the change in immigration policies of this administration are definitely bearing fruit. Now that's not to say native born Americans that they're doing that great. Unfortunately, their annual change was also negative But again, we have definitely slammed the brakes on the number of foreign born workers coming into the country and getting jobs. All right, well, EJ, thank you so much for coming on today M, my pleasure, thank you for having me. This episode is sponsored by Brickhouse Nutrition Everybody knows someone right now who's talking about weight loss injections. And to be fair, the results can be dramatic But a lot of people are also hesitant about weekly injections. 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So those officers are being instructed by the White House to make about two thousand arrests per day Earlier under this administration, we saw a quota of about one thousand per day. So this is a huge increase. In a recent five day operation, there were about ten thousand arrests. Now that operation ended earlier this week. So they're trying to keep that pace. They're trying to keep that going ICE's detention population all the while is growing. There's about sixty three thousand illegal immigrants in ICE detention And those officers are working around the clock. They're working weekends now, and they're really out there trying to make these arrest numbers and fulfill the White House's wishes. Secretary Mullin also earlier this week, confirmed that arrests are up and deportations are surging. Listen here We're seeing our arrest numbers come up. We're seeing our deportation numbers continue to increase. Right now, we're deporting on average over three thousand two hundred individuals a day. seventy percent of those individuals were deporting have outstanding criminal charges on them or they've already been charged with a felony That two thousand a day arrest quota is something similar to what we saw under the tenure of Department of Homeland Security Secretary Christie Noam. whosince been replaced by Mullin, and he's now appearing to bring that back Now, Jenny, you have sources within ICE. I imagine they're experiencing a lot of pressure. What are they saying about this? So over the weekend, these IC officers were pulled in from across the country for a massive surge effort Those officers were told it was mandatory that they needed as much manpower as possible up to one hundred percent One source told me that it was super last minute, but it was a huge effort There are some concerns, however, from some of my sources that this will take agency morale. I've even heard that some people were called in on their vacation days and approved days off for this. Now, what is the White House saying about this and why are they doing this now? It's important to note when looking at this that last year, White House advisor Stephen Miller had instituted a three thousand a day arrest quota. And that was a huge goal for ICE. It really hurt their morale. It really made their lives and their jobs harder. and they were working again, weekends, they were working long hours Now, ISS since added thousands of officers and they've added billions of dollars to their budget So that's the biggest difference right now is they have more manpower, they have more resources. Now at the same time, if we look at what Mullin's approach was to carrying out the mass deportation effort, when he came into DHS He said that he wanted a quiet approach to immigration raids. And it does seem like this new operation is going about quietly. They're not really saying, hey, we're in these cities like they were under Secretary Noem. When we saw those really showy patrols, we also saw border patrol was out and they were out in force very like made for TV moment in a lot of these cities and we're not really seeing that happening. There're still seemingly taking that more quiet under wraps approach, but it remains to be seen how this could continue. So we'll definitely keep an eye on it What is the strategy right now? Are they returning to the broad approach or are they continuing to target the worst of the worst? It does appear that they are taking a broader approach to arrest, but the Trump administration is saying that seventy percent of those that they are arresting are individuals who have criminal histories, either convictions or charges. so they want the American people to feel like they're taking really bad guys off the streets. All right, well, Jenny, thanks so much for reporting. Thank you President Trump has announced something the Republican Party has never done before, a midterm convention. Joining us now to talk through what it means is Daily Wire, opinion, editor, and host of the bigig Ben show, Ben Dominic. Ben, thanks for coming on Its greatreat to be with you as always. So just starting with the basics, President Trump posted on Truth Social that the RNC is going to hold its first ever midterm convention this September in Dallas. The national political parties don't usually do a convention outside of the main election year. Why is he doing this now? and what is the format going to be Well, I think one of the things that's been absent noticeably from this midterm election is the kind of barnstorming tour that Donald Trump has done in the past politically across the country. A big part of that, of course, is that he's been working in Washington. He has stayed closer to the White House than he did in his previous term. And I think that they're trying to make up for that a bit by scheduling this midterm convention, which is designed to highlight the things that they've been able to achieve. I also think that they're hoping it's going to be a unifying moment for the Republican Party, which in case you haven't noticed, has been kind of clawing back and forth at itself. Now, what he's promising is we have some entertainment that's going to come on stage. He's going to be celebrating first responders, some hard wororking Americans that have not yet been named. Is this going to function like a campaign rally or is this going to be like a traditional convention and If so, what would the distinction be Well, I think the distinction here is that, you know There's nobody being nominated. There's no actual formal process. I think this is going to be a show, basically, a made for TV show that they come together and do in Dallas at a particular moment that where they feel like you know people start paying attention in the fall to politics and to thinking about who they're going to vote for They're hoping, I think that this gets the kind of TV attention, the kind of media attention that can really sort of establish themselves as being a party that has gotten things done, which is not the current reputation that they have with the American voter on average. And so I think that's the reset that they're looking for. It's going to be a made for TV event like most conventions are Now, the DNC notably considered doing something similar, but they decided against it because of cost. What does that decision tell you about where the two parties are heading into November? Where are their war chests comparatively It is not even close. Republicans have so much more money to play with than the Democrats have. Democrat fundraising has been a real problem for them. The only candidates who've really been able to fundraise consistently this time around are some of those more extreme candidates who've been doing well online. Democrats are really behind, and the DNC, quite frankly, was pretty poorly run when it came to their finances, And that means that they're looking at a lot of different people to get in their corner, billionaires who' bailed them out in the past to come in and basically try to back them with various super pCs and things that are going to have to work as outside of the party entities in order to back everything that they've done. They bet a lot of money on a lot of different things that haven't necessarily worked out for them, including, for instance, the Virginia redistricting fight. And I think that at the end of the day, Democrats do actually have a money problem that could play out in the fall in ways that would hurt their ability to get their message across Relating to the fact that the DEMs are so down when it comes to raising cash Does that raise flags about where their base is, or is the money mismanagement separate from the level of enthusiasm among their voters The thing is that Democrats have an enthusiastic base for these socialist left candidates, but they don't have an enthusiastic base for their leadership. Aakim Jeffries, Chuck Schumer, these are not popular figures within the Democratic Party. And the truth is that because of that, they've struggled to get the kind of resources that you would normally see flow to them assuming that they have a real shot at winning. Now I do think some of that's going to change. I think that there's going to be a lot of blue dollars that flow in, for instance, to the aforementioned Texas. but I also think that that's something where they are behind and they're going to have to make up some significant rounds All right, O Ben, thank you so much for making time for us today. Great to be with you Thanks for waking up with us. The reporting that fuels this show is only possible because you tune in every day and because of our Dailywire subscribers. To enjoy the show, add free and join our mission, become a member at dailywire d. com. We'll be back later this evening with more news you need to know.