Upcoming Supreme Court Cases and Term

Trump hasready been acting like he has the power that the Supreme Court declared today that he has. But I do think that this declaration by the Supreme Court will further embolden him if it's possible even to imagine a further emboldened Donald Trump I'm Jane Koston and this is what todayay. The show that is looking forward to the end of the mind bending stress of Spreme Court ruling season So we can get back to the mind bending stress of midterm election season And then before you know it, it'll be the mind bending stress of twenty twenty eight presidential election season Fun On today's show, we head back to the Supreme Court to find out if there's a method to their madness with strict scrutiny co host, Kate Sha. Before we get into All that Here's what we're following today, Monday, june twenty ninth. Iran has requested a meeting this week, so spepecial Envoy Witkoff and Jared Kushner will be flying to Doha for high level meetings this week as we continue to discuss the memorandum of understanding on the sidelines of those high level talks will be the technical talks. So as far as we're concerned, we're holding up our end of the ceasefire. Violence will be met with violence. White House Press Secretary Caroline Levittt is back T, running her mouth on Fox News Yay, four. Literally no one Trump said earlier today that a meeting with Iran is set for Tuesday in Qatar. Yes he said in a true social post and yes, that post was in all caps Iran separately announced that it will send delegations to Qatar this week Though Tehran insisted it has not agreed to meet with the US, quote, at any level, after attacks across the Persian Gulf over the weekend challenged negotiations to end the war Russian President Vladimir Putin admitted for the first time on Sunday that Russia is facing fuel shortages in its war with Ukraine Putin told state run media that Ukrainian attacks, quote, on our infrastructure facilities do create problems. That is obvious Still, Russia appears undeterred According to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, Russia launched another deadly missile and drone strike today He called the attacks quote, horrific Things are heating up The head of the World Health Organization said Sunday that Europe is now the fastest warming continent on the planet And it needs to do more to protect its citizens WHO Director General, Tedros Oanome Gabriasis wrote on Twitter, quote More than thirteen hundred excess deaths have been recorded since june twenty first, linked to high temperatures in Europe Meanwhile, the National Weather Service predicts a long and dangerous heat wave will blast a swath of the central and Eastern U S. this week Already, parts of the US, especially Phoenix, central Texas, and much of the Southwest, were experiencing temperatures around one hundred degrees Fahrenheit on Sunday Heat may be up, but pride is down National pride, that is According to a new Galluop poll, American National Pride is the lowest it has been in twenty five years. In two thousand one, just over half of respondents said they were extremely proud to be an American. Today, only one third said the same Happy two hundred fiftieth birthday, America. And that's the news Let's talk about the Supreme Court Yes Again, apparently this season finale of the mostost important cases of our lives is a three partarter. If you're looking for a through line in the Supreme Court's rulings this term Today we got four more decisions from the nation's highest courourt and they were C confonfusing. For example, the court ruled that President Trump can fire federal independent agency commissioners, but he can't fire a governor at the Federal Reserve, which is also an independent agency. What's the difference? I don't know We also got a surprisingly good ruling on mail in voting and a separate victory for privacy in the Fourth Amendment So is there any method to the seeming madness in the Supreme Court's decision system To find out, I spoke to Kate Sha. She's a law professor at the University of Pennsylvania and co host of Crookedia's Strict Srutiny. Welcome back to Wday Thank you so much for having me back. So the Supreme Court, because we didn't have enough going on, dropped four rulings today. One of the biggest decisions was in Watson vers. Republican National Committee. The Supreme Court upheld a Missippi law that allows ballots postmarked by election day I feel like it's an important note because I think Alito didn't understand this Postmarked by election day but received after to be counted What did the judges say in their opinions Yeah, I mean, I think the setup makes clear like this should be a no brainer and uncontroversial because all of the counted ballots were cast by election day. And even if they get there because sometimes mail is slow a couple of days later, you would think that they, if the state chooses to count them, can still be counted. and that has been the practice in many states for some time now. And yet this kind of far fetched challenge saying that that state law violated a different federal law got a surprising amount of traction and only by the narrowest of margins was rejected at the Supreme Court. So the bottom line here is that the Supreme Court turned away this challenge to the Mississippi law that allows the grace period for late arriving ballots. But it was only a five four decision turning away that challenge. So for now, at least states that Let people vote by election day and count those votes if they come in a couple of days later can continue to run their elections as they have. But in some ways, I think what the scariest thing about this case is is how close it came to succeeding and fundamentally destabilizing a big aspect of election administration just a few months out from the midterms What was the challenge based on? L what was the federal law the Republican National Committee was trying to raise? Sure. Yeah, so there's a federal law that sets the election day in federal elections, right? States can hold their elections kind of whenever they want. But for federal elections for president or for Congress, you it's in these congressional elections at issue here, it's the Tuesday after the first Monday in November Federal law says that is the day of the election. That's the language in the federal statute. And these challengers said, Aha, well, it's day of the election. So everything has to happen on a single day and counting the ballots later violates that federal requirement of a single election day. Now it was a challenge that didn't actually take aim at the fact States do allow early voting, and on the challenger's own logic, it would seem that that too would be inconsistent with a federal mandate for a single election day. But at least in this case, they didn't want to disrupt early voting just the late counting. And Justice Barret actually wrote the majority opinion. She was joined by the Democratic appointees and the chief Justice and basically said that federal requirement is for when you have to make a choice and make a choice by, but it doesn't preclude the consequences of that choice being put into effect by state officials who count later if they choose, not that they have to, but when states choose to, the federal law doesn't override that choice One of the dissents came from Alito, who seemed to think that If they counted later, that meant that the person voted after election dayay, which I was very confused. and so was he. That is a loss for Trump, one would argue. The Supreme Cour playing a very long game of Calvin Ball, which is a reference to the Calvin and Hubbs cartoon series, where Cavvenball is a game that you make up as you're playing it, it's great. you should Google it also handed Trump a win and a loss in his efforts to fire federal agency heads They ruled that he could fire federal trrade Commissioner Rebecca Slaughter, but not Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook. What was the justustice's reasoning on why these cases were ultimately different So you're right that, you know sort of the invication of kind of Calvin Ball, like Trump does win in one and lose in the other as a technical matter. But I think that Pidential power and the idea of the unitary executive, and obviously right now, it is Trump who is the beneficiary of that vision of the presidency, won huge in today's decisions. And sllaughter, which is the case that overruled this nearly century old precedent, Humphrey's executor, and said the president has to be able to fire at will whenever he wants, for any reason or no reason, the heads of even traditionally independent agencies that is a decision that think will fundamentally change the kind of nature of presidential power and the face of a lot of the federal government. Trump has already been acting like he has the power that the Supreme Court declared today that he has. But I do think that this declaration by the Supreme Court will further embolden him if it's possible even to imagine a further emboldened Donald Trump And yet it was a mixed day because Trump did lose in the case in which he was trying to fire Federal Reserve goovernor Lisa Cook, And the court tried to draw a distinction between presidential power over most independent agencies complete and presidential power over the Fed or at least the you know, governorss on the Fed limited But honestly, the distinction seemed to come down less to law than to kind of politics and practical consequences, like I think it's pretty clear. And the court said this in basically so many words that it was nervous about wildly destabilizing the economy and global markets by upending this long settled understanding that the Fed is independent in a way other agencies aren't. And because it didn't want to do that, it didn't. And it wasn't that worried about destabilizing consumer protection or labor or environmental kind of regulations, which is what lots of other independent agencies handle. And so it gave the president total power over those things I'm curious In your mind, because I keep saying Calvin Ball, is there any pattern to where the justices are standing up to President Trump's administration and where they're handing him wins? Because it seems like As long as it doesn't impact the economy, he can do whatever he wants, except in these other moments when he can't Yeah, I mean, I think that one really cynical read is that The consonservatives are occasionally willing to rule against Trump when, as you said, it is kind of necessary to save global markets and four hundred one Ks, et cetera. And maybe also we're ruling against Trump may anger Trump, but actually fundamentally, may help Republicans. And I think arguably in the tariffs case, where the court ruled against Trump, he was very unhappy about it. But the justices may well have seen political cost of these huge tariffs for kind of Republican electoral prospects and the Republican Party wr large and sort of decided that a short term loss for Trump was also actually a long term win for the Republican Party. So that's one way to understand what the court did in the tariffs case. And I actually think with the absentee voting case or the kind of late counting voting, rather, and the Fed case today mayaybe that's also an explanation. So Trump is going to be is upset about the voting case and upset about losing in the Fed case, but you know, kind of better for the Republican Party's electoral prospects if markets don't go haywire right now and actually maybe Roberts and Barrett see better than Trump does that actually the vvealence of restricting voting access is at least more complicated than Trump and the RNC might think, right? Like they brought this challenge to late counting ballots, thinking presumably they would get some electoral advantage from doing that. And maybe Roberts and Barret know, the calculus is at least more complicated in that Trump tried to really polarize, you know, vote by mail and early voting around COVID. And there was, I think the Democrats really were using these kind of alternative voting measures much more heavily than Republicans, but all of that has actually shifted. I think that they may be also making a political calculation that is broader than just about what Trump wants in this moment, and that might explain some of the Trump losses We'll get back to my conversation with Kate Chhott in a moment because like the Supreme Court, we like to keep you on the edge of your seat But if you like the show, make sure to subscribe, leeave a five star review on Spotify and Apple podcasts, watch us on YouTube, and share with your friends. More to come after some ads This episode is brought to you by IQBar, our exclusive Snack sponsor IQ bars are better for you clean plant protein bars packed with fiber and brain boosting nutrients with zero added sugar You no longer have to choose between healthy or delicious snacks. BcQbe bars, plant protein bars are packed with high quality ingredients to help keep you physically and mentally fit You won't find any unrecognizable ingredients on their label. 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Let's get back to my conversation with Kate Shaw So, Kate, the lowest profile, though not unimportant, case decided today was Chaty . United States, which had to do with detectives using a geo offense warrant to solve robbery in Virginia. And I think that privacy advocates have been saying this a big victory for them. but first, what is a geofense warrant and where did the justices come down in the ruling So it's a kind of word that I was not familiar with either, but it basically asks a service provider, like Google in this case, to identify every user within a particular location for a particular period of time. So here, it was like all of the users in this particular radius from where a robbery occurred, who was there during that period just as a law enforcement technique. And because it was a pretty novel law enforcement technique, there just hadn't been any Supreme Court grappling with whether the Fourth Amendment, which protects against unreasonable searches and seizures, was violated by the use of this investigative technique, by just the getting, without any individualized suspicion of all of the user information for everybody who is in this area And the court there held, yeah, you actually do have a reasonable expectation of privacy in records about your cell phone's location, and there is an intrusion on that expectation of privacy when law enforcement gets this information kind of in bulk. And so yeah, a pretty big win for the Fourth Amendment and for kind of privacy interests, although a lot of questions to be answered about how exactly to do the Fourth Amendment analysis. But the Constitution does care. You do have an interest that is protectable in this location information that I think is the bottom line On top of those four rulings, the justices with No opinion, no dissent, no details, said they would not hear Trump's push to toss the five million dollars verdict against him in Egene Carroll's sexual abuse case Was this the end of the road for that case? Does he have any other avenues to contest it besides screaming about it on the internet I mean the one thing you do have to sometimes give to his legal team is if not like winning arguments, they do they have a degree of sort of malevolent ingenuity. so I cannot rule out that there is some other avenue that they may try to devise. but I think that Almost certainly that is the end of the road for this particular effort. There is that separate case in which there is the eighty plus million dollars judgment against Trump and his lawyers have said that they are also going to seek Supreme Court review of that case. I think that the chances are equally unlikely of the Supreme Court taking any interest. but In some ways, it's like, The kind of audaciousness of the ask, so Trump will ask the Supreme Court to review a case that there's no plausible reason the Supreme Court could have for reviewing. And then it's sort of big news, and the court is ruling against Trump when it denies these efforts. There was never a plausible case for Supreme Court intervention. and I think that's true about the eighty million dollar verdict too. But I think that it's just another example of kind of the sort of audaciousness and overton window moving kind of redounding to Trump's benefit becausecause I do think that if we're going to kind of list the things that Trump lost in the Supreme Court this term, I mean, I guess this does count, but there was just really no legal claim there. So I'm almost resistant to even kind of including it on the list The list is going to get longer in multiple directions because The justices are running kind of late this term. Kate, I don't know if You knew this, which you probably did because you did all the teaching and the law school. Did you know that there isn't really a day where the Supreme Court has to like turn it everything? They could just keep going. It's kind of a whatever. So which big cases are we still waiting on Yeah it is unlike normally if you have like a take home exam, you you have to turn it in by five o'clock on the next day or whatever, like no, they just go for as long as they want. And the only thing constraining them is their desire to, know go on these you know European junkets or yachts, you know, your mileage may vary. However you choose to enjoy your vacation, are if you're a Supreme Court justice is eager to get on with it And so they'll just when they're ready, they will give us the last the opinions and they'll go. But yeah, there are two cases involving trans student athletes and efforts to keep them from playing sports, a case involving campaign finance regulations, and then the kind of maybe biggest case of the term, the case involving the constitutionality of the president's effort to end birthright citizenship those four cases unless They decide to ask for reargument, which is, I guess always a possibility, but most likely those four cases will be decided tomorrow, which will be the last day of the term. And I guess we'll have a better sense then of just what the ledger looks like in terms of Trump wins and losses. He's likely to lose birthright citizenship based on the tenor of the argument. But you can't rule anything out with thisureme courourt. So we're going to have to wait and see I'm so excited for all of their yachting Kate, as always, thank you for joining me. Thanks, Jane. goodood to be with you. That was my conversation with Kate Shaw, co host of Crooked Media's Stict Srutiny Before we go Nothing says I'm not political quite like spending the last two decades remaking American politics. On the latest episode of this fucking guy Hysteria host, Aaron Ryan dives deep into the past of Chief Justice of the Supreme Court, John Roberts. The man who brought us the Citizens United ruling, guuted the Voting Rights Act and has spent his career moving our country towards oligarchy all the while claiming he's above politics.